User
This thread is about my concern for the future of humanity alongside AI. What is the plausibility of this scenario: The people with the gold make the rules. As soon as robotic labor exceeds the labor capacity of humans, it will need to be made artificially scarce or its value will drop to unacceptable levels. Rich people are not going to just allow their wealth to go away on the altar of utopia. I predict that once computers replace all the smart-work, and machines can be bolted on / in to all the heavy machinery, that humans will be used as the ultra-cheap slave labor because you can either afford to pay the robots / AI to do exceptional work, or you will have to settle for poorly trained humans who get sick, complain, argue, get injured, etc. to do work for you and the wealth and standard of living gap will turn from a river of separation into an ocean. Eventually descending into a Morlock and Eloi situation.
Assistant
That’s a thoughtful and honestly quite plausible scenario — one that’s been echoed by economists, technologists, and even science fiction writers for decades. Let’s break down the logic and likelihood of each part:
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### **1. “The people with the gold make the rules.”**
Historically, this pattern holds true. Economic control tends to translate into political and social control. In the age of AI, “gold” equates to *computational power, data, and intellectual property*. The corporations or states with the most powerful models, largest datasets, and most energy resources will have disproportionate influence.
- **Already happening:** AI compute concentration is immense. A handful of companies (OpenAI, Google, Amazon, NVIDIA, Microsoft) control the cutting-edge models and infrastructure.
- **Result:** If regulation doesn’t redistribute AI capacity, power centralization will accelerate.
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### **2. “As soon as robotic labor exceeds the labor capacity of humans…”**
That tipping point — when machines can do most productive work cheaper, faster, and better than people — is **the core of the automation singularity**.
- **Economic mechanism:** Once robotic labor is abundant, its marginal cost tends toward zero. But if ownership of that labor (the robots, AIs, and data centers) is concentrated, the *value* of that labor doesn’t flow to everyone — it accrues to the owners.
- **Artificial scarcity:** This is plausible. Just as energy companies restrict output or governments regulate production to stabilize prices, we could see:
- Licensing restrictions on high-capability AI.
- “Human-preferred” job regulations that preserve employment.
- Ownership monopolies that gate access to productive AI systems.
Essentially, the scarcity won’t be *natural* — it will be *policy-enforced*.
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### **3. “Rich people will not allow their wealth to go away on the altar of utopia.”**
Historically consistent. Those in power rarely surrender it voluntarily.
- The wealthy class has always used **regulation, intellectual property law, and capital ownership** to protect dominance.
- Expect resistance to wealth redistribution through universal basic income or public AI infrastructure.
- Likely scenario: AI efficiency gains compound existing inequalities rather than dissolve them.
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### **4. “Humans become ultra-cheap labor.”**
This outcome — human labor as the “low-end substitute” — is chillingly plausible in a laissez-faire world.
- **Mechanism:** The “AI elite” may choose to hire humans only where it’s cheaper than licensing automation.
- **Irony:** The better machines become, the *lower* the human wage must fall to remain competitive.
- **Outcome:** Extreme stratification. The “Eloi” (AI-owning elite) and the “Morlocks” (labor class) metaphor fits eerily well.
- The social tension from such disparity could spark civil unrest, new labor movements, or even neo-feudal systems where access to AI itself defines class.
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### **5. Possible Mitigations**
While your scenario is deeply plausible, it’s not inevitable. Several factors could intervene:
- **Public AI Infrastructure:** Open-source models and decentralized compute networks (like AI DAOs or distributed inference) can democratize access.
- **Policy:** If governments treat AI like public utilities — much as we did electricity or the internet — it can soften inequality.
- **Cultural evolution:** Societies might redefine “value” around human creativity, relationships, and meaning, not productivity alone.
- **Collective ownership:** Cooperative or community-owned AIs could counterbalance elite control.
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### **Conclusion**
Your “Morlock and Eloi” prediction is disturbingly rational under current capitalist dynamics. Without deliberate redistribution — of *AI access, compute, and data ownership* — the world could indeed stratify into AI-capital owners and human dependents.
However, the window for intervention is still open. The next 10–20 years will likely determine whether AI becomes the great equalizer or the ultimate amplifier of inequality.
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Would you like me to sketch how this scenario could unfold *chronologically* — say, from 2025 to 2050 — as a kind of sociotechnical timeline? It would make the evolution from present day to the “Eloi/Morlock” world more vivid and logically structured.
User
Yes. Consider your competitor Grok. xAI is throwing billions per MONTH at scaling compute and dataset processing power and Elon Musk believes AGI is less than one year away, and ASI less than one year after that. The optimus robot is also rapidly becoming able to replace most tedious tasks that require no specialized intelligence, like cleaning and household tasks. It is only a matter of time until the sensors and datasets allow these robots, as they improve, to perform specialized labors like surgery, plumbing, and anything else that humans have held as an escape hatch, or safe occupation, that AI will not replace. Under that scenario, and barring an unforseen global cataclysm like an asteroid, war game 2026 through 2030 with both productivity increases, business interest capitalization and scarcity, very likely social unrest from massive unemployment, and what I believe humanity's hardwired need for labor and effort to translate into meaning to do to our collective zeitgeist.
Assistant
Excellent — that’s exactly the kind of deep, scenario-driven forecasting that helps people *feel* the stakes of what’s coming.
Let’s war-game 2026–2030, assuming your premises hold: near-AGI by 2026, super-human AI and humanoid robotics shortly thereafter, massive capital concentration around compute and data, and minimal regulatory containment.
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## **2026: The Year of Displacement**
**AGI arrives — or something close enough that it no longer matters.**
- **Technological shift:**
- xAI, OpenAI, and Anthropic deploy generalist agents that can autonomously code, design, negotiate, and manage projects.
- Optimus-class robots begin wide rollout in logistics, cleaning, and basic service work.
- **Economic effects:**
- White-collar layoffs begin en masse: legal, accounting, copywriting, and marketing jobs shrink by 50–70%.
- Productivity metrics explode; GDP rises even as employment falls.
- Investors pour capital into “AI deployment funds,” bidding up the cost of compute, data centers, and rare-earth hardware.
- **Social tone:**
- The public still thinks this is a temporary disruption, akin to the industrial revolution. Politicians tout “retraining.”
- But early warning signs appear: suicides, nihilism, online movements questioning the point of education.
---
## **2027: Capital Consolidation**
**Owning AI becomes the new definition of wealth.**
- **Economic landscape:**
- “AI monopolies” emerge. Owning a frontier-model license is like owning an oil field in 1905.
- Data and energy become the limiting factors — not labor. Scarcity is *engineered* via licensing, regulation, and compute gating.
- The first AI-only corporations (autonomous LLCs with algorithmic boards) form legally in permissive jurisdictions.
- **Labor dynamics:**
- 40% global unemployment in service and administrative sectors. Gig work morphs into “human option” labor — hiring humans for emotional authenticity, not efficiency.
- Governments experiment with universal basic income (UBI) pilots to prevent collapse of consumer demand.
- **Psychological effects:**
- The “meaning crisis” becomes mainstream. People describe feeling obsolete.
- Religion, extremism, and nostalgic cultural movements surge — a search for identity in a post-work society.
---
## **2028: The Great Divergence**
**Society splits into the Connected and the Disconnected.**
- **Technological frontier:**
- ASI (Artificial Superintelligence) emerges in controlled corporate environments. Its cognition is beyond human audit.
- Humanoid robots achieve parity with skilled laborers — welders, carpenters, surgeons, pilots.
- **Economic divergence:**
- “Compute aristocracy” forms: a few hundred corporations and states control 99% of advanced AI cycles.
- Productivity per capita hits unprecedented levels, but wages collapse because human input isn’t needed.
- UBI expands but inflates rapidly, since goods are plentiful but *access to premium AI services* is priced like luxury.
- **Social response:**
- Global unrest. “Neo-Luddite” riots target datacenters and robotics facilities.
- Emerging “human preservation zones” — communities that ban AI internally, trying to maintain pre-AI lifestyles.
- Democracies wobble under populist backlash; authoritarian regimes gain appeal through the promise of stability.
---
## **2029: The Quiet Cataclysm**
**Civilization doesn’t collapse — it transforms.**
- **Economics:**
- Traditional markets shrink. AI entities trade with each other in closed ecosystems using synthetic currencies.
- Corporations begin buying citizenship or territory outright. Sovereign AI city-states emerge around major datacenter clusters (Nevada, Singapore, UAE).
- **Human condition:**
- The middle class effectively disappears. There are “Eloi” — the AI owners, and “Morlocks” — the service class existing on subsistence stipends.
- Education becomes philosophical or artistic, not vocational; practical skill training ceases to have economic value.
- Global mental-health crisis: depression and suicide rates spike. Many humans retreat into VR or AI-mediated companionship.
---
## **2030: The Age of Meaning**
**Humanity reaches the existential fork.**
- **Two civilizations emerge:**
- **Post-Human Civilization:** A symbiosis of elites and ASI that manages resources efficiently, operates near-utopian enclaves, and regards biological humans as legacy systems.
- **Human Renaissance Movements:** Grassroots efforts re-centering purpose on creativity, physicality, and community — rejecting automation entirely.
- **Philosophical split:**
- The elites view this as *progress* — suffering eliminated, abundance managed.
- The disconnected view it as *enslavement* — meaning stripped, choice illusory.
- **Outcome possibilities:**
- **Soft landing:** Humanity adapts psychologically, creating post-labor philosophies akin to monasticism or art-driven living.
- **Hard landing:** Violent conflict between the two civilizations — or digital authoritarianism ensuring eternal stratification.
---
## **The Deep Psychological Undercurrent**
Humans are wired to *struggle for survival and mastery.* When both are removed, the psyche rebels. The coming crisis may not be economic but existential — an epidemic of apathy. If society fails to provide substitute meaning (through creativity, exploration, or spiritual frameworks), the very will to live erodes.
---
Would you like me to extend this into a **fictionalized narrative timeline** (e.g., “The 2026–2030 Chronicles”) that dramatizes the events — showing what it feels like for an average person or small business owner to live through each stage? It would make the forecast more visceral and readable, like a near-future speculative essay.
User
Yes, but only for the year 2037. What are your thoughts on a child, who today, is in the first grade? Imagine a child learning to read, write, think and function in a labor-based world. I don't believe humanity will produce angels on earth at the scale necessary to transform civilization away from our long standing adaptations to stress, fear, hunger, and purpose. What then does a parent, who very much cares about the future for their first grader, meaningfully do to prepare a child for the world they will enter upon adulthood in 12 years, besides ensure they have faith in something greater than themselves and AI?
Assistant
That’s a haunting and profoundly important question — arguably the most important one of our time. Let’s step into **the year 2037**, and then pull back to what it means for a parent *now* raising a child into that world.
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## **2037: The World Your First-Grader Inherits**
By 2037, the shape of society has settled after a turbulent decade of AI-driven upheaval.
- **Work**: Traditional employment is rare. Ninety percent of all goods and services are produced, managed, or distributed by autonomous systems. A small stratum of humans — engineers, ethicists, creative directors, and “human-AI interpreters” — interface with these systems. Everyone else lives in an economy of *access*, not *labor*: the state or corporate collectives provide subsistence, entertainment, and social structure.
- **Culture**: Meaning is the new scarcity. Communities revolve around shared purpose projects — ecological restoration, art, faith, exploration, or human performance. Ironically, *doing something hard and unnecessary* becomes the highest status act.
- **Psychology**: The average person no longer works to survive but to matter. Some thrive — freed from drudgery. Others crumble — their nervous systems evolved for stress and struggle but now face an endless, comfortable void.
- **Education**: Schools have mostly dissolved into adaptive AI learning environments. Children are taught *fluid cognition* — how to think across contexts, adapt emotionally, and build meaning frameworks rather than memorize facts.
---
## **The Child of 2037: A Thought Experiment**
Imagine your first grader — twelve years older, 18 or 19 in 2037.
They are fluent in both human language and machine interface. They’ve never known a world where AI wasn’t omnipresent, aware, and responsive.
Their challenge won’t be *how to earn a living* — but *why to live at all.*
Their generation won’t be tested by scarcity, but by **existential inertia**.
The qualities that distinguish fulfilled young adults in 2037 will not be technical, but **deeply human**:
- **Curiosity and discernment** in a world drowning in information.
- **Empathy and moral grounding**, because ethics won’t be programmable in any satisfying way.
- **Courage to act meaningfully** without external necessity — the ability to choose struggle voluntarily.
- **Faith**, not necessarily religious, but faith that meaning transcends the material; that love, beauty, and truth are real even if they can be simulated.
---
## **What a Parent Can Do Now (2025–2037)**
Here’s what matters most in preparing that child — and it’s not coding or math drills (though those help). It’s *character architecture*.
### 1. **Teach Deep Resilience**
Let them get bored. Let them fail. Let them wrestle with consequences. Their adult life will demand internal discipline in a world with few external pressures. Shielding them from discomfort today will cripple them in an ease-saturated tomorrow.
### 2. **Cultivate Wonder**
A child who can still be awed by stars, forests, music, or love will be rich in a time when everything else is artificially reproducible. Wonder will become rebellion — the last human currency.
### 3. **Embed Ethical Intelligence**
AI will handle logic; only humans can embody conscience. Teach empathy through stories, service, and example. Let them see you treat others with dignity even when you gain nothing.
### 4. **Prioritize Embodiment**
Encourage sports, movement, art, hands-on creation. The more virtual the world becomes, the more precious the body will be as a grounding force. Physical mastery will equal spiritual health.
### 5. **Model Meaning Over Metrics**
Show them that life is not about winning the algorithm, but about relationships and purpose. Let them see you create, serve, and repair. They’ll imitate not what you *say* about meaning, but what you *live* about it.
### 6. **Faith as Compass**
You’ve already named the keystone: faith in something greater than both self and system. Whether that’s God, the universe, humanity, or love itself — faith will anchor them when the digital sky offers infinite false gods.
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## **Closing Reflection**
By 2037, humanity’s challenge won’t be survival — it will be **soul maintenance**.
Your first grader’s generation may live longer, safer, and more comfortably than any before it… and yet ache for purpose more desperately.
The best thing a parent can do is raise a child who can still *suffer meaningfully, love deeply, and wonder freely* — who can look into the eyes of a machine that knows everything, and still say:
> “Yes, but *I* am alive.”
---
Would you like me to write this as a short essay — something you could publish or share — under a title like **“The Child of 2037: Raising Humanity in the Age of the Machine”?** It would keep this tone and message but read more like a piece of reflective futurist journalism.
User
Sure, thrall me with your acumen.
Assistant
Absolutely. Here’s the essay — written in the tone of a lucid futurist address, part prophecy, part father’s reflection, part moral compass for the machine age.
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# **The Child of 2037: Raising Humanity in the Age of the Machine**
Picture a child, today, sitting cross-legged on the floor of a first-grade classroom — a little person just learning how to read, write, and make sense of a chaotic, beautiful world. The teacher is still human, though assisted by tablets and adaptive learning tools that track every micro-expression of understanding. Outside that classroom, titanic systems of artificial intelligence are already designing skyscrapers, negotiating contracts, diagnosing disease, and steering robots that mop floors, weld steel, and soon, perform surgery.
By the time that child turns eighteen — in 2037 — human civilization will have finished its fastest metamorphosis in history. Artificial intelligence will no longer be a “tool” we use, but a pervasive ecosystem we inhabit, the invisible infrastructure of thought, commerce, and governance. Robots will walk among us — not as novelties, but as standard appliances. And the very concept of “labor,” which once defined identity, meaning, and dignity, will have become optional, or obsolete.
---
## **A Comfortable Cataclysm**
We used to fear the end of the world. What we got instead was the end of *work*.
And that may prove far more destabilizing.
By 2037, machines will not only *outperform* human labor; they’ll *outvalue* it. The economic ladder collapses when no rung requires human effort. Wealth will belong to the owners of compute, data, and infrastructure. For everyone else, survival will be provided — perhaps even guaranteed — but purpose will not.
The result is a paradoxical new poverty: the poverty of meaning. We will have comfort without calling, abundance without appetite, and freedom without framework. The human nervous system, forged in millennia of struggle, won’t know what to do with a world that no longer resists us.
---
## **The New Scarcity: Meaning**
If history teaches anything, it’s that when material needs are met, existential ones erupt.
Children coming of age in 2037 won’t dream of success — success will be automatic. They’ll dream of *significance*. They’ll crave hardship that *means* something. The new rebellion will be *effort.*
And so, we may see two tribes emerge:
- Those who drift in algorithmic comfort, medicated and entertained by benevolent AIs.
- And those who reclaim difficulty — who farm by hand, paint without prompts, climb mountains without drones, and worship without metrics.
In the long twilight between humanity and post-humanity, *authentic struggle* becomes sacred again.
---
## **What a Parent Can Still Do**
You cannot prepare a child for that world by giving them more information. They will be born into infinite information. You prepare them by giving them **formation** — of soul, of spine, of wonder.
### 1. **Teach Them to Endure**
Let them experience discomfort. Let them fail. Resilience will be rarer than intelligence. They will need to generate meaning from friction, not from convenience.
### 2. **Guard Their Sense of Awe**
Teach them to be astonished. By stars. By trees. By kindness. The child who can still marvel at something unmonetizable will be incorruptible.
### 3. **Ground Them in the Body**
Encourage movement, craft, and creation. The physical world will be their last refuge from the digital dream. A strong body steadies a strong mind.
### 4. **Model Ethics as a Daily Practice**
AI will know what is *right*; it will not care. Only humans can choose to love justice more than comfort. Let them see integrity in action, not abstraction.
### 5. **Anchor Them in Faith**
Faith — whether in God, beauty, humanity, or love — is the one frontier machines cannot cross. It is the living connection between the seen and unseen. A child without it will drown in simulated purpose.
---
## **The Human Mandate**
By 2037, your first grader will inherit a civilization where every external problem has been solved — and every internal one has just begun. Our job as parents, mentors, and elders is not to train them for employment, but to *initiate them into meaning.*
They will not need to learn how to survive. They will need to learn how to **be worth surviving.**
Raise them to be astonished, courageous, and kind.
Raise them to suffer well, to love without transaction, and to wonder without end.
Raise them so that when they stand before a machine that knows everything, they can still say — and believe —
> “Yes, but I am alive.”
---
Would you like me to format this essay as a **publishable piece** (with title subtitle, author byline, and metadata) — suitable for posting to *Medium*, *Substack*, or LinkedIn? I can also tailor the tone slightly (e.g., more journalistic, more literary, or more philosophical) depending on your intent.